26 Dec 2019 18:16:45
There was a poster on here who works/ worked for opta. I was just wondering how this likely win percentage that amazon are using is calculated. Is it specific to the two teams, does it factor in certain stats from the specific game, or is it simply based on the score and the time of the match?
Hope you’re still around or perhaps one of the Ed’s would know.
Cheers.

{Ed001's Note - that was Reid The Red I think. I have no idea how this AWS junk works, as it has been shown to be nonsense in F1 I would take little notice of it to be honest.}

1.) 26 Dec 2019
26 Dec 2019 20:57:28
That is indeed me. It's calculated via a number of methods - form, head-to-head record, home/ away records etc, and it of course changes as the game goes on based on time remaining, the way the game is going (obviously a team's chance of winning increases after they score but also things like possession, shots etc do affect it), even a team's record late on in matches (do they score or concede a lot of late goals? ) .

I don't know exactly how this is all calculated but like Ed001 says, take it with a pinch of salt. It's just meant as a bit of fun to say, historically/ statistically speaking, the current likelihood of a team getting a result. You can't predict football or any sport for that matter, so it's just a rough guide.

{Ed0666's Note - the only thing I can confidently predict in a world full of nuances and anomalies is that Eds 001 will never be a 32 inch waist again.

2.) 26 Dec 2019
26 Dec 2019 22:04:25
Appreciate the response Reed👍.